Pick of the Day – 10/17/20 (Saturday)

POTD record 1-0

Last pick: Port Adelaide vs Richmond under 114.5.

Easy money, was an 86 total in the end. As I thought, the rain affected scoring opportunities (a lot of absolute gimme marks were dropped) and it was a hotly contested footy.

Today’s pick: Geelong ML vs Brisbane (AFL). 4U @ 2.1

Going in heavyyyy on this game. These odds are disrespectful to Geelong. They have the better team and just smashed the pies by 68 so will have a lot of momentum. I don’t personally rate this Brisbane team that highly and I think their lack of experience will show. They beat the tigers but the tigers looked bloody lazy and there were a lot of scrap goals that Geelong will not allow. If Geelong play another controlled game with clean possessions tonight then i can’t see them losing. I also can’t see Brisbane shutting down Hawkins and danger up front. If tigers had lynch last game, I think the result would have been different. Yes, they have arguably the best defender in Andrews but think they struggle against two key forwards. Honestly, I think cats are the best team in the comp when they’re on (let’s not forget they beat the #1 side in port by 60 points) and I think they play better when they haven’t had a rest week (but maybe the rest week will suit Brisbane). Perhaps the main thing working against Geelong is they are playing at the Gabba, but nonetheless I think there will be a lot of cats supporters there and it’s not nearly as daunting as playing a team like the tigers at the G, particularly with the bubble.

I think cats by 20+

EDIT: Darcy Gardiner a late out apparently which only makes this bet more likely IMO.

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