Pick of the Day – 10/14/20 (Wednesday)

POTD record: 13-0-4

Profit: 9,74u

Last picks:

Lajovic to win vs Khachanov @1,9 ✔️

RBA vs Rublev over 22,5 games @1,85 ❌

Kvyat to be better than Vettel in qualifications @1,8 ✔️

Bublik to win vs Monfils @2,3 ✔️

Stefano Travaglia to win vs Kei Nishikori @1,66 ✔️

Aljaz Bedene to win vs Nikola Milojevic @1,8 ✔️

Lorenzo Sonego to win vs Taylor Fritz @2.0 ✔️

Karen Khachanov to win vs Christian Garin @2.0 ✔️

Jannik Sinner to win vs Alexander Zverev @2,62 ✔️

Fucsovics Rublev over 3,5 sets @1,83 ✔️

Philipp Kohlschreiber to win vs Thiago Seyboth Wild @2,37 ✔️

Andrey Rublev – Stefanos Tsitsipas over 3,5 sets @1,5 ❌

Philipp Kohlschreiber to win vs Marco Cechinatto @2,62 ❌

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic over 36,5 games @1,8 ✔️

Oscar Otte to win vs Marc Polmans @1,66 ✔️

Cameron Norrie to win vs Taylor Fritz @3.0 ✔️

Daniel Altmaier to win vs Henri Laaksonen @1,66 ❌

Today’s pick: Cameron Norrie to win vs Miomir Kecmanovic @2,37

Match starts in 6ish hours.

Why do I think Norrie will win (except for the fact that my model predicted it)?

Norrie was playing well overall against Fritz, and he even served out more aces than Fritz which is impressive, even though Fritz is not the best returner. He even had 1st serve% at 76, so he is really in form. He needs to cut down on some mistakes, but his overall level was high compared to how he usually plays.

I don’t know how good was Kecmanovic’s win over Kukushkin was since Kukushkin had to ask for medical timeout early in the match, he looked well to me later in the match, but I haven’t been able to watch much of the match. From what I’ve seen Kukushkin’s flat backhand made Kecmanovic uncomfortable in rallies sometimes and Norrie has flat backhand too, not as much as Kukushkin though. His 1st serve% stood at 56 which isn’t bad, but could be better. Once again, I don’t know how severe was Kukushkin’s injury, but either way putting Kecmanovic as that bigger of a favourite is ridiculous to me.

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I usually post more picks in tennis daily discussion, but today that’s not the case.

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