Pacers vs Warriors: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 24, 2021

A game after he put up 36 points in a 134-128 win over the Timberwolves, Domantas Sabonis leads the Indiana Pacers (15-14) at home against the Golden State Warriors (17-15) on Wednesday, February 24, 2021. The Pacers are favored by 1.5 points in the matchup, which tips off at 7:30 PM ET on FS-IN. The matchup has a point total of 228.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of February 24, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Pacers vs Warriors Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 24

Pacers:
T.J. Warren: Out (Foot),
Caris LeVert: Out (Kidney)

Warriors:
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Marquese Chriss: Out For Season (Leg)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pacers (-1.5)
Total Pick Under (228)
Prediction Pacers 115, Warriors 111

The model projects the Pacers to win, just as FanDuel does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (3.6 to 1.5).

The model predicts a total 1.7 points lower than the one set by FanDuel for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Pacers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Malcolm Brogdon 29 21.6 4.8 6.6 1.3 0.3 2.7
Domantas Sabonis 29 21.5 11.6 5.7 1.0 0.7 1.0
Caris LeVert 12 18.5 4.3 6.0 1.1 0.5 1.8
Myles Turner 27 13.2 6.6 1.0 1.1 3.5 1.4
Doug McDermott 28 13.1 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1 1.5

Pacers Player Props

  • Malcolm Brogdon’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 30.5, 2.4 lower than his season average of 32.9.
  • Sabonis’ PRA prop total for the game is set at 36.5, 2.3 lower than his season average of 38.8.
  • Brogdon’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
  • T.J. McConnell’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 1.2 steals lower than his season average of 1.7.

Warriors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Stephen Curry 31 30.2 5.4 6.2 1.2 0.1 5.1
Andrew Wiggins 32 17.6 4.8 2.1 0.7 1.2 1.9
Kelly Oubre Jr. 32 15.1 6.0 1.4 1.3 0.8 1.8
James Wiseman 21 12.2 5.9 0.7 0.4 1.2 0.4
Eric Paschall 29 10.0 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.4

Warriors Player Props

  • Stephen Curry’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 28.5, 1.7 points lower than his season average of 30.2.
  • Kelly Oubre Jr.’s rebounding prop total for the contest is posted at 6.5 boards, 0.5 rebounds higher than his season average of 6.0.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 4.5, 0.6 shots less than his season average of 5.1.
  • Draymond Green’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.8 steals less than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Pacers have a 47.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.5% higher than the 44% of shots the Warriors’ opponents have hit.
  • Indiana is 14-9 against the spread and 15-8 overall when it shoots higher than 44% from the field.
  • Golden State’s record is 14-10 against the spread and 14-10 overall when its opponents make more than 47.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Warriors have shot at a 46.2% clip from the field this season, 0.3 percentage points higher than the 45.9% shooting opponents of the Pacers have averaged.
  • Golden State has put together a 13-4 record against the spread and a 13-4 straight up record in games it shoots over 45.9% from the field.
  • Indiana is 11-5 against the spread and 12-4 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 46.2% from the field.
  • The Pacers are hitting 37.1% of their three-point shots this season, 0.5% lower than the 37.6% the Warriors allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Indiana has a 9-5 record against the spread and a 9-5 record overall when the team makes more than 37.6% of its three-point shots.
  • Golden State has put up an 11-5 against the spread while going 11-5 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 37.1% from downtown.
  • The Warriors’ three-point shooting percentage this season (37.4%) is just 0.5 percentage points lower than opponents of the Pacers are averaging (37.9%).
  • Golden State is 12-5 ATS and 13-4 overall when the team hits more than 37.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • Indiana has a 9-4 ATS record and a 9-4 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 37.4% of its three-point shots.
  • The Pacers knock down 12.4 three-pointers per game this season, 2.1 fewer makes per game than the Warriors give up (14.5).
  • When Golden State makes more threes than its opponents, it is 13-6 against the spread and 15-4 overall. When Indiana is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 7-9 ATS and 8-8 straight up.
  • The Pacers are the 18th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Warriors allow the 20th-fewest makes from deep.

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Pacers vs Warriors Stat Rankings

Pacers Rank Pacers AVG Warriors AVG Warriors Rank
13th 113.4 Points Scored 114.3 10th
15th 111.9 Points Allowed 112.6 20th
24th 42.9 Rebounds 43.6 19th
24th 8.7 Off. Rebounds 8 28th
18th 12.4 3pt Made 14.5 6th
5th 26.8 Assists 27.8 1st
9th 12.8 Turnovers 14 21st

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