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Action and Line Movement
This one opened at -6 and had dropped a half point overnight. Some books even had the number at -5.
- Heat are 1-6 Against The Spread in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
- Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
The Heat (2-1) were the only Eastern Conference team to win a season series with the Bucks this year.
The rivals ranked fourth (Bucks, 13.8 per game) and sixth (Heat, 13.4) in 3-pointers made during the regular season, and shooting from beyond the arc played a major role in determining who won the three earlier meetings.
The Heat held the Bucks to 24-for-88 shooting on treys in the first two games, with Milwaukee floundering at 31.5 and 20.6 percent, respectively. But Milwaukee was a much improved 15-for-37 (40.5 percent) in the win in the bubble.
Miami, meanwhile, made 16, 18 and 21 3-pointers in the three games, hitting at 43.3 percent.
– Tony Caliente, Gambling911.com